Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.247979 1.407062 1.580835 1.785096 2.019066 2.279208 2.591070
2026-01-18 1.025008 1.239547 1.492750 1.815061 2.216455 2.702479 3.339499
2026-01-25 0.851653 1.089002 1.387056 1.791886 2.332092 3.034669 4.028289
2026-02-01 0.707973 0.947241 1.263328 1.716308 2.356730 3.241660 4.577749
2026-02-08 0.608335 0.846057 1.174074 1.666542 2.398971 3.466834 5.176550
2026-02-15 0.534536 0.769045 1.105251 1.631292 2.449948 3.702849 5.819365
2026-02-22 0.497495 0.739091 1.098294 1.683008 2.633747 4.159286 6.876325
2026-03-01 0.458221 0.700393 1.072305 1.699590 2.760777 4.538594 7.863012
2026-03-08 0.413428 0.647777 1.018007 1.662266 2.791103 4.756480 8.596511
2026-03-15 0.374261 0.599828 0.965547 1.620548 2.806190 4.946059 9.303525
2026-03-22 0.360781 0.592365 0.978414 1.691612 3.028999 5.539416 10.889666
2026-03-29 0.344973 0.579166 0.979721 1.741391 3.217678 6.093363 12.493492
2026-04-05 0.326846 0.561398 0.973298 1.780266 3.399072 6.677103 14.314624
2026-04-12 0.307585 0.539858 0.958117 1.801250 3.549485 7.225161 16.181269
2026-04-19 0.283954 0.508083 0.920833 1.774481 3.598281 7.566313 17.640610
2026-04-26 0.256827 0.467270 0.862425 1.698151 3.531055 7.640923 18.463200
2026-05-03 0.235700 0.435958 0.819310 1.648312 3.514757 7.828694 19.616417
2026-05-10 0.218347 0.410413 0.785080 1.613212 3.526584 8.084178 21.007119
2026-05-17 0.211457 0.404846 0.790346 1.664165 3.744552 8.876968 24.076368
2026-05-24 0.201697 0.392600 0.780634 1.680486 3.882106 9.490971 26.781475
2026-05-31 0.187939 0.370977 0.749228 1.643604 3.883530 9.750011 28.475050
2026-06-07 0.175013 0.350053 0.717471 1.602395 3.868499 9.962775 30.078315
2026-06-14 0.172190 0.350294 0.731734 1.672570 4.152444 11.056163 34.871301